ATS-1 Paper trading range coordinator live · 28s

Performance

your account vs. just holding BTC refreshes every 5s

You're down −$87.99 (−0.88%) over this paper trading run. That's behind buy-and-hold by −$1,159.86. 4 trades closed.

Your account
$9,912.01
Just holding BTC
$11,071.87
Difference
−$1,159.86
Trades closed
4
EV $-22.00 · 95% CI [-17.5984, -26.3976] · n 4
Best strategy
perp_trend
EV $-22.00 · CI [-17.5984, -26.3976] · n 4
Active positions
0
$0.00 deployed

Equity

last 30 days refreshes every 30s
$11,283 $10,547 $9,810 start now
your account buy & hold

The dashed grey line is what you'd have if you'd just bought BTC and sat on it. The solid line is where ATS-1 actually took you.

Strategies

how each one's doing refreshes every 5s
perp_trend
still learning · n=4 < 30, probing
$0.00 allocated · 0.00% of book
idle

Activity

last 20 events refreshes every 5s
  1. trade exit · perp_trend
  2. exit submitted · perp_trend
  3. entry submitted · perp_trend
  4. signal dropped · perp_trend · risk_or_liquidity_block
  5. trade exit · perp_trend
  6. exit submitted · perp_trend
  7. entry submitted · perp_trend
  8. signal dropped · adaptive_trend · risk_or_liquidity_block
  9. trade exit · perp_trend
  10. exit submitted · perp_trend
  11. entry submitted · perp_trend
  12. trade exit · perp_trend
  13. exit submitted · perp_trend
  14. entry submitted · perp_trend
  15. signal dropped · range_grid · risk_or_liquidity_block
  16. signal dropped · adaptive_trend · risk_or_liquidity_block
  17. signal dropped · adaptive_trend · risk_or_liquidity_block
  18. signal dropped · adaptive_trend · risk_or_liquidity_block
  19. signal dropped · perp_trend · risk_or_liquidity_block
  20. signal dropped · adaptive_trend · risk_or_liquidity_block

Mutations

parameter changes in flight refreshes every 30s

Shadow-validating

Nothing in shadow validation right now.

Applied this week

No mutations applied this week.

Rolled back

No rolled-back mutations.

What do these terms mean?
Expected Value (EV)
The average profit or loss per trade. P(win) × avg_win + P(loss) × avg_loss. Positive EV means each trade is, on average, profitable. EV beats raw win rate because a strategy can win 90% of trades and still lose money if the losing 10% are huge.
95% CI
A 95% confidence interval on EV. The true average per-trade outcome is likely inside this band. Wide CI = uncertainty (few trades). Narrow CI = the number is trustworthy.
Win rate
Fraction of trades that closed profitable. Never shown alone — always paired with EV and CI, because it can mislead on its own.
Regime
How the classifier sees the market right now. One of panic, euphoria, squeeze, trend, or range. Each strategy is only active in regimes it's allowed to trade.
Probing size
The smallest position size the risk manager will allocate. Used when a strategy has fewer than 30 trades — not enough data to size with confidence. Strategies in this state show "still learning".
Mutation
A proposed change to a strategy's parameters, generated by the meta-learner. Every mutation is shadow-validated against historical data before going live.
Shadow validation
Running a proposed mutation against past data in an isolated in-memory database. If it doesn't pass statistical gates there, it never touches the live strategy.
Buy & hold
The benchmark. What your account would be worth if you'd just bought BTC at the start of the run and held. ATS-1's job is to beat this line.